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    <lastBuildDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 09:04:25 GMT</lastBuildDate>
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      <title>EY warns chancellor's fiscal headroom has halved to £11bn — and could turn into a £7bn deficit</title>
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      <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>EY economists estimate John Healey's fiscal headroom has more than halved to about £11.3bn since March — and warn it could flip into a £7bn deficit if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut into 2027.</description>
      <author>James Calloway</author>
      <category>uk-budget-2026</category>
      <category>uk-economy</category>
      <category>ey</category>
      <category>fiscal-headroom</category>
      <category>iran-war</category>
      <source url="https://www.thetimes.com/business/economics/article/uk-fiscal-headroom-halves-could-drop-deficit-5j9jmkwjj">The Times</source>
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